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Monday, December 19, 2005

Packers/Ravens preview

Brett Favre makes his 30th appearance on Monday Night Football when Green Bay travels to Baltimore for an otherwise meaningless NFL exercise.

No one will ever forget Favre's most memorable performance under the spotlight two years ago, the night after his father passed away. The future Hall of Famer threw four touchdown passes on the road and achieved the highest passer rating of his career in a 41-7 rout of the Raiders.
Don't expect similar fireworks against the Ravens. Green Bay is 30th in the NFL in rushing offense, leading Favre to throw a league-high 22 interceptions, two shy of his career high.
The Packers don't figure to have much luck gaining ground against a Baltimore team that has held the opposition to less than 100 rushing yards seven times this season. The Ravens limited Denver, the top running team in the league, to 2.6 yards on 15 first-down carries last week. None of the running plays went for more than eight yards.

However, Favre could take advantage of a defensive formation that has been susceptible to big plays.

Green Bay is looking to win consecutive games for the first time this season, while Baltimore hopes to avoid its first 10-loss season since 1998.

The Ravens’ offense is the most anemic in club history and perhaps the worst ever in Charm City. But they're not even the worst scoring offense in the league this season, pulling ahead of the New York Jets by two points.

Baltimore is also well clear of Seattle's record low of 8.8 points per game set in 1992. The Ravens do rank near the bottom in passing and rushing. Quarterback Kyle Boller ranks 33rd in passer rating and tailback Jamal Lewis is 23rd in rushing.

Green Bay has lost by three points in both of its Monday night games this season. The Packers look to avoid going 0-4 against AFC opponents for the first time since 1985. That could be a tough chore against a Baltimore defense that has allowed six TDs in six home games.
The Ravens have won four of six at M&T Bank Stadium (3-3 ATS). Green Bay is 3-4, both straight up and against the spread, on the highway.

Baltimore has slipped below the limit at a 9-3-1 clip this season, ducking 'under' in all six of its home tests. The Packers have been on the low side in seven of their last eight games.
Most offshore books opened the Ravens as three-point favorites, with the total set at 34.

Buy your picks at Who2beton or at Don Best

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