When comparing the statistics of Marquardt and Sonnen one would think that the betting lines would be closer than they currently are, however, the fact that Marquardt is a better grappler may have been the determining factor.
Marquardt, a three-time Middleweight King of Pancrase Champion, is a black belt in under Ricardo Murgel. He has 15 out of his 29 wins by submission. He is very good on the ground and has beaten some very good ground fighters in his career such as Demian Maia, Wilson Gouveia, Thales Leites, Jeremy Horn, Anderson Silva and Dean Lister.
Though Sonnen does not have the grappling game he is a better wrestler than Marquardt. Marquardt is a very good ground fighter on his back and if Sonnen was to use his wrestling in an attempt to take Marquardt, it will be his undoing. Unfortunately for Sonnen, Marquardt is also a better striker and will use his long legs to his advantage.
Sonnen has a well-rounded skill set and he is good at a lot of things, but not great at anything. Marquardt on the other hand can fight from anywhere. If Sonnen is to stand a chance in this fight he will need to outwork Marquardt as he does not have the grappling nor striking power to beat Marquardt outright.
This fight will most likely go to a decision which is the perfect prop bet to make. The sports betting lines are pretty steep at -310 but Marquardt has the advantage in almost all areas and the areas in which he does not dominate will be nullified by his dominate grappling.
Look for Marquardt to Win a 3 Round Decision
matchup brough to you by fighting-mma.com
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